Top 30 Overall

Hey Guys!

Welcome to my Top 30 Overall page.  Here I will be counting down the Top 30 prospects from this year's season, in my personal opinion.  I do all of the write-ups and projections myself based on algorithms that include, Strength of Schedule, previous stats, and general trends from similar players. I hope you enjoy!

COME BACK TOMORROW FOR THE NEXT 5!

#1 Antonio Brown

With the numbers he put up last year, it’s hard not to put Antonio Brown at #1.  That being said, I see a big bounce back from RBs this year and think that they will take back the WR/RB throne.  You can’t go wrong with Antonio Brown and I think there is no bad place to take him.

Projected Stats: 140 receptions, 1,793 yards, 10 TDs - 239 Fantasy Points

#2: Adrian Peterson

The name I keep seeing everywhere is Odell Beckham Jr.  Yes, I think OBJ will keep up his phenomenal play and finish #2 in the WR position, but like I said, I think RBs are going to take back the throne when it comes to the positional battle of WR/RB.  AP didn’t get the nickname of All Day for no reason, and I think he is one of the few who can keep up his production even as an older back in the NFL.

Projected Stats: 301 carries, 1,474 yards, 11 TDs, (26 receptions, 241 yards, 2 TDs) - 249 Fantasy Points

#3: Odell Beckham Jr.

OBJ will keep up the pace with another great year.  The last two years, he has proved over and over his playmaking ability and his incredible hands.  He is Eli Manning’s favorite redzone target and the addition of a good rookie receiver in Sterling Shepard should help a little bit with defensive schemes.  Also returning from injury is Victor Cruz.  With less pressure, and more open targets, I see Odell Beckham having yet another increase in fantasy points.

Projected Stats: 104 receptions, 1,587 yards, 12 TDs - 230 Fantasy Points

#4: Julio Jones

Just because I have him at 5 doesn’t make Julio not worth a top 3 pick.  I think no matter where you take and of my top 5, you will have a superstar anchor for your team.  We all know what Julio can do, and with the volume of targets he gets, anything under 1,600 yards would be a surprise.  Again like Odell Beckham, he plays in a terrible division with lackluster defenses.  Julio Jones should have a terrific season, and if he gets some more TDs than last year, he could very well be the #1 receiver at the end of the year.

Projected Stats: 140 receptions, 1,937 yards, 7 TDs - 235 Fantasy Points

#5: Todd Gurley

Many fantasy analysts have been taking Todd Gurley as early as first pick in drafts.  I don’t agree whatsoever.  Playing in one of the toughest defensive divisions in football, with a rookie QB, I don’t see things as clearly as some analysts say.  I think Gurley breaks 200 points, but not by much due to his lack of receiving yards.  Maybe I am wrong, and the Rams rushing attack works out and pulls through for Gurley, but I just don’t see it.  I won't disrespect Gurley and put him lower than 5, just because of pure talent, but I am steering clear in all drafts.

Projected Stats: 314 carries, 1,367 yards, 11 TDs, (18 receptions, 156 yards, 1 TD) - 223 Fantasy Points

#6: Lamar Miller

Lamar Miller has been phenomenal these past two seasons, and put in a new situation in Houston, I think he will keep it up.  With an offense/defense combination that Houston has, clock chewing will be a big part of the game plan and lucky for them, they have a stellar RB for the job.  On top of that, they have some weak defenses in their division in the Titans, Jags, and Colts so I see no problem for Lamar.

Projected Stats: 285 carries, 1,268 yards, 9 TDs, (53 receptions, 427 yards, 4 TDs,) - 236 Fantasy Points

#7: DeAndre Hopkins:

The growth that DeAndre Hopkins made last year was incredible.  I think that Will Fuller will help free up some space for DeAndre to make some big plays.  A note to add on to his incredible year last year, was the fact that the QB situation was constantly switching around.  The addition of Brock Osweiler will hopefully help out the young WR and keep him in the elite of the elite receivers.  DeAndre seems like a no brainer in the first round.

Projected Stats: 115 receptions, 1,623 yards, 9 TDs - 216 Fantasy Points

#8: David Johnson

David Johnson was great for fantasy owners who had him in the final few weeks of the season, and he is a good downhill runner.  He also is in a tough division, but I don’t think that will stop him too much.  I worry that he might not be the player everybody thinks he is because he had one massive game that contributed to a quarter of his entire fantasy output last year, but he is young and has upside.

Projected Stats: 301 carries, 1,306 yards, 7 TDs, (63 receptions, 498 yards, 2 TDs) - 233 Fantasy Points

#9: Ezekiel Elliot

It's not that I don't think Zeke is a phenomenal player, you just can't put Zeke top 5 right off the bat.  I think he has the potential to be an easy top 3 RB, but he has yet to play a real NFL snap yet.  I am not changing my projections, as I do believe he will be amazing this year, but it was brought to my attention that I had him way too high.

Projected Stats: 286 carries, 1,289 yards, 10 TDs, (46 receptions, 412 yards, 3 TDs) - 247 Fantasy Points

#10: Le’Veon Bell

Look, Le’Veon Bell is a great RB when he is healthy, and not suspended.  Unfortunately last year he was both and this year he is suspended for 1/4 of the season.  Phenomenal football player, and if he can keep up the pace from last season, he will finish top 10, but it could be too late for you by the time he comes back.  Make sure to draft DeAngelo Williams if you are considering taking Le’Veon.

UPDATE: Now that Bell misses only 3 games, I would be willing to take him late first round, if you can get another decent RB, or DeAngelo Williams.  I am increasing his projections only by 10 points because he is facing the Chiefs, but I do like him more now.

Projected Stats: 219 carries, 1022 yards, 6 TDs, (37 receptions, 418 yards, 4 TDs) - 203 Fantasy Points

#11: Rob Gronkowski

Personally, I think I might have Gronk too high on this list.  I don’t think he will have quite the production he normally has with Jimmy G as his QB for the first 4 weeks.  Expect maybe a 10-15 point decrease from last season, but still clearly a favorite as the best TE in football.  An incredible athlete with perfect size, Gronk is still Gronk.

Projected Stats: 84 receptions, 1,068 yards, 10 TDs - 166 Fantasy Points

#12: A.J. Green

With no Mohamed Sanu, Marvin Jones, and Tyler Eifert, A.J. Green could either have a great year, or suffer from lack of support.  I think he will have a great year, as he has proven to be the most consistent receiver EVER to this point in his career.  Expect another solid year, with better numbers than last season.

Projected Stats: 92 receptions, 1,543 yards, 10 TDs - 214 Fantasy Points

#13: Allen Robinson

To be honest, I don’t have much to say about Allen Robinson.  I expect him to be similar stats-wise as last year.  Blake Bortles had a great season last year, and as long as the Jags don’t convert to a heavy run based offense, he should have another fantastic year.

Projected Stats: 85 receptions, 1,276 yards, 11 TDs - 199 Fantasy Points

#14: Dez Bryant

Look, Dez Bryant was the reason I finished 13-0 in my league 2 years ago, but when I drafted him with the 11th pick, it was one of my worst picks ever.  You can blame the Quarterback situation and hope it was just an off year, but I am steering clear for this year.  He should still do well, but I wouldn't expect 200+ from him.

Projected Stats: 84 receptions, 1,247 yards, 10 TDs - 184 Fantasy Points

#15: Devonta Freeman

The only reason I have faith in Devonta Freeman is because of how freaking awful the NFC South is defensively.  I have been hating on the division’s defense in a lot of my posts, but it’s hard not to when you have a division that bad on defense.  I don’t think he will be as good this year, but he has some upside given that he is a heavy receiver on the Falcons.  Risky pick, but might be worth it.

Projected Stats: 227 carries, 987 yards, 6 TDs, (68 receptions, 581 yards, 4 TDs) - 226 Fantasy Points

#16: Jordy Nelson

Here’s one based on pure speculation.  Based on his numbers from not so long ago, he should be keeping players like DeAndre Hopkins and Dez Bryant company, but he got injured.  You never know what a player coming back from injury will be like, so rather safe than sorry.  Had Aaron Rodgers played like Aaron Rodgers last year, I would be more confident in Jordy Nelson, but he didn’t.  Jordy is still a high WR on my list and should finish top 7.

Projected Stats: 89 receptions, 1398 yards, 8 TDs - 187 Fantasy Points

#17: Mark Ingram

Remember how I said, “Consistency is key?”  Mark Ingram is the opposite of Doug Martin, in the sense that last year, he had only ONE game all season below 9 Fantasy Points.  He doesn’t have those huge breakout games like some of the other RBs on this list, but he is consistent.  Old Faithful should do well, although it’s unfortunate he can’t play his own team, because their defense is horrid.

Projected Stats - 208 carries, 917 yards, 9 TDs (47 receptions, 298 yards, 3 TDs) - 192 Fantasy Points

#18: Eddie Lacy

If it weren't for last season, Eddie Lacy would be in the discussion for top running back in the draft.  He was taken in the first round of most leagues last year, and was awful all year long.  Every time he looked like he was getting better, he slumped right back down.  All this being said, he lost a ton of weight in the offseason and is in the final year of his contract, which proves to help players (Doug Martin last year, Mark Ingram in 2014).  Eddie Lacy could potentially be a top 5 RB, but with the season he had last year, I can’t bring myself to put him any higher than #19.

Projected Stats: 265 carries, 1,239 yards, 7 TDs, (41 receptions, 354 yards, 3 TDs) - 218 Fantasy Points

#19: Jamaal Charles

I’m a big believer in Jamaal Charles this year, and I believe he can return to form for another solid 2 years.  That being said, he is coming off a torn ACL, which is no easy feat.  With a run heavy coach in Andy Reid and a toned down Denver Broncos defense, I see Jamaal Charles having a great year and finishing it off with no injury issues.  The emergence of a legitimate receiver in Jeremy Maclin certainly helps Charles as well.

Projected Stats: 220 carries, 1,122 yards, 7 TDs, (53 receptions, 420 yards, 3 TDs) - 214 Fantasy Points

#20: Brandon Marshall

After last season I can safely say that age doesn’t look like a huge factor for Brandon Marshall.  That being said, he is 32 and there is no way he has the same season he did last year.  He should still be good with not that much changing in New York, and especially since they resigned Ryan Fitzpatrick, but I’m not projecting huge things by his standards.  Should be another solid year for a great WR1 in fantasy.

Projected Stats: 102 receptions, 1,326 yards, 9 TDs - 186 Fantasy Points

#21: Alshon Jeffery


I think this is a conditional player, meaning if the puzzle pieces click, he should have a career year.  If they don’t then we can still expect good numbers, just not sensational numbers.  If Jeremy Langford proves to be similar to a Matt Forte, and Kevin White lives up to at least some of the hype, then Alshon Jeffery could have the season of a lifetime, if not…well let’s see.


Projected Stats: 93 receptions, 1376 yards, 8 TDs - 185 Fantasy Points

#22: Doug Martin

A wise man once said, “Consistency is key.”  Consistent is one of the things that Doug Martin is not.  In his 4 seasons in the NFL he has had 2 superb years, and 2 god awful years.  I personally will not be drafting Doug Martin no matter the circumstance because I he could easily go back to putting up 3.6 YPC again.  He got the contract he wanted, and doesn’t have that same motivation.  He has upside, as the NFC South has atrocious defense, but I still am not high on him.

Projected Stats: 275 carries, 1,099 yards, 8 TDs, (34 receptions, 169 yards, 2 TDs) - 185 Fantasy Points

#23: Mike Evans


Another young receiver in the NFC South, Mike Evans was considered a “disappointment” last year.  This proves just how good this guy is.  He finished with 1200+ yards and was considered a disappointment.  This was due to the fact that he only managed to haul in 3 TDs with his 6’5 frame.  Another factor were all of his dropped passes last year.  These are fixes that can be made over the offseason, and I expect Mike Evans to be a superstar receiver this year in the weak NFC South division.


Projected Stats: 95 receptions, 1360 yards, 6 TDs - 172 Fantasy Points


#24: Brandin Cooks

Brandin Cooks had his coming out season last year, and I see no reason for Cooks to slow down as long as Drew Brees is at the helm and the NFC South’s defense doesn’t have a miracle year.  I see no sign of him slowing down, especially now that he has Michael Thomas opposite him.  Cooks should be a solid high end WR2 to low end WR1.

Projected Stats: 92 receptions, 1217 yards, 8 TDs - 169 Fantasy Points

#25: Amari Cooper

Coming in to Oakland, high stakes were set on the young rookie, but he proved all the doubters wrong by receiving over than 1,000 yards in his rookie season.  As a sophomore we can only expect Amari to get better, especially with the Broncos defense taking a hit in the offseason.  Number 26 might even be too low for Amari, but he is only a sophomore in the league, which means he still has something to prove.  Just take Trent Richardson as an example :-).

Projected Stats: 100 receptions, 1,272 yards, 7 TDs - 169 Fantasy Points

#26: LeSean McCoy

Shady, Shady, Shady.  What can I say?  It doesn’t have the same effect on people as it used to have.  Back when Shady was the most explosive back in the league.  Back when Shady would make crazy plays where everybody thought it was a loss of 5.  These last 2 seasons have been disappointing for Shady, and he is only getting older…but he’s Shady.  He might be 28 years old, coming off a season with signs of aging and injuries, but if he can stay healthy I think he can pull off one more good year.

Projected Stats: 260 carries, 1,092 yards, 8 TDs, (24 receptions, 168 yards, 2 TDs) - 185 Fantasy Points

#27: Thomas Rawls

I’m torn on Thomas Rawls.  I love his style of running, and I think he can be great, but there is so much going against him.  He is coming off a big injury, and he is in a pretty good defensive division with at least two games against a superb Cardinals defense.  That being said he played phenomenally last year when he got the opportunity so I don’t think you can go that wrong taking him.  My only piece of advice here is not taking him too early, because there are better RBs with more upside.

UPDATE: After watching ESPN's fantasy football marathon and learning about the emergence of Christine Michael, I feel like the Seahawks backfield could turn into a timeshare.  I wouldn't take Rawls, just for the pure reason that there is uncertainty surrounding the RB position in Seattle.

Projected Stats: 239 carries, 1063 yards, 6 TDs, (21 receptions, 193 yards, 2 TDs) - 183 Fantasy Points

#28: Keenan Allen

In my mind, this is an easy one.  Had Keenan Allen not lacerated his kidney, he could have easily ended in the top 5 in receptions.  Hopefully a matured Melvin Gordon will show up this year and open up the passing game more for the Chargers.  Looking at Keenan Allen’s stats from last year in just the 8 games he played, he hauled in 67 passes for 725 yards and 4 touchdowns.  Those are insane numbers and in my mind Keenan Allen is someone you CANNOT pass up on anywhere later than 30th pick.

Projected Stats: 118 receptions, 1,164 yards, 7 TDs - 158 Fantasy Points

#29: Jordan Reed

With Pierre Garçon slowing down, and DeSean Jackson not his young nimble self anymore, Jordan Reed has emerged as the number one target on the Washington Redskins.  Although DeSean Jackson is no longer what he was in Philly, he still is a deep threat who gets attention from opposing defenses, which opens up space for Jordan Reed down the field.  Another huge part of Jordan Reed’s game is his touchdowns, of which he had 11 last year.  I think he is by far the number two Tight End.

Projected Stats: 86 receptions, 1,054, 9 TDs - 159 Fantasy Points

#30: Sammy Watkins

Many Analysts have Sammy Watkins higher than 29, but I don't feel the hype.  Playing in a division that has tough defense in the Jets and the Patriots, Sammy Watkins will be getting tightly covered for at least a quarter of the upcoming season.  That being said, there is a lot of upside to Watkins, as he is a deep threat and against weak run defenses, Shady will most likely open up the passing game.

Projected Stats: 77 receptions, 1,089, 9 TDs - 162 Fantasy Points